winterspeak.com


Saturday, November 22, 2003
 
Three cheers for ESR Eric Raymond has finally completed "The Art of Unix Programming". It's a pity O'Reilly did not publish it -- I'd be interested to find out why.
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Mutual Fund Scandals Three cheers for Michael Lewis. Lots of people at U Chicago reckon that mutual fund managers aren't worth the money, and have run lots of money looking for places where they earn their keep. They don't find any. More worryingly, this seems to also be true in the private equity business, except some people there actually do seem to outperform but then take all that performance back through hefty fees, cuts, and salaries. Good for them, not so good for the investor. Is it any wonder that most of my classmates were very excited about PE jobs and less interested in the mutual fund business?

Michael Lewis nails the real scandal in the mutual fund industry -- that people waste their money investing in them at all. The really smart money is in the "carry" ("carried interest") of very competant investors who supplement their skills with institutional cash. These guys outperform, and pocket their winnings. The rest of us should have our money in broad index funds and pay accounts to sheild us from taxes.
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Cellphone pricing With number portability set to hit this Monday, and the fact that Sprint cannot reach my new basement apartment Boston, I've been looking into getting a new carrier, along with a new phone and plan.

It's been very complicated. The plans themselves are so difficult to understand, that I feel like I'm buying an airline ticket.

Perhaps this is because the cellular phone business is like the airline business. David Anderson, who I've known for a while, has written a good piece outlining why this is so. Essentially, David points out that a wireless network, once built, is a sunk cost and that only the variable costs associated with utilizing that network should be considered -- and they happen to be zero. This is like airlines in that the planes are sunk but empty seats cost the airline money, so airlines should be built around maximizing capacity utilization -- ie. having planes filled with passengers in the sky at all times.

This model applied to phones would focus on getting 1) maximum revenue per customer and 2) getting the customer to use the phone as much as possible. So, when designing phone services and figuring out how to price them, we move from cost/megabyte to revenue/subscriber communication.

Camera phones seem to be popular now, and actually I think they are pretty cool myself, but I would prefer a simple phone with long battery life and ubiquitous reception. It seems that building out reception is actually expensive compared to getting people to shove more data through the pipe they already have, all wrapped around complex pricing schemes, so I don't think I'll see my ideal phone any time soon. Pity.
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